To recommend approval of NPRR210 as recommended by PRS in the 3/25/10 PRS Report and as revised by PRS and to assign a priority of High to the proposed grey boxed language.
To approve NPRR210 as recommended by TAC in the 6/3/10 TAC Report.
Passed
Background
Status:
Approved
Date Posted:
Feb 9, 2010
Sponsor:
Morgan Stanley
Urgent:
No
Sections:
2.1, 3.9.1, 4.2.2, 5.7.4
Description:
This Nodal Protocol Revision Request (NPRR) changes the wind forecasting methodology to use a 50% probability of exceedance calculation instead of an 80% for Reliability Unit Commitment (RUC) considerations. This NPRR would align the Nodal Protocols with changes made to the zonal Protocols pursuant to Protocol Revision Request (PRR) 841, Revise Total ERCOT Wind Power Forecast (TEWPF), which was approved by the ERCOT Board on 3/23/10.
Reason:
The P80 forecast provides an unrealistically low prediction of wind output resulting in overcommitment of RUC Resources. Implementation of this NPRR should allow ERCOT to commit fewer RUC Resources and still maintain reliability.